49th House of Representatives General Election National Awareness Survey

• This seems helpful for understanding elections objectively. Link to the document

• Interesting points:

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    • It’s good to see that the gender gap is gradually converging to zero.
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    • Why are younger people increasing while those aged 50 and above are decreasing?
    • I would like to see this graph more three-dimensionally across past elections.
    • In 1819, the rate is higher for people in their 20s. Is it that around 10% of people are like “I will vote for the first time, but not afterwards”?
  • 
    • Isn’t the number of arrests decreasing too much? Why is it decreasing so much from around the 41st time?

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  • It seems to be correlated with the voter turnout, but the causality is unclear.
  • Why is there a decrease in interest itself after the 47th time (after the Democratic Party’s defeat)? (blu3mo)

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  • 2.4% for ages 18-29, seriously? (blu3mo)
  • Subjectively, is there an impression that having a strong interest in politics equates to being “dangerous,” making it difficult to select “having a very strong interest”?
  • Well, even I would probably choose “having some interest” if I were given this survey a year ago. (blu3mo)
    • It might lead to a feeling of not being as “very” interested as stated.
  • Since the interpretation of questions may vary by generation, I would like to see this measured using more objective methods, like scores on current political issues.

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  • There is a decline in awareness of voting after the 46th time (after the Democratic Party’s defeat).
  • There are sudden drops in graphs related to political awareness at the 46th time (voter turnout, awareness of voting) and at the 47th time (level of political interest).
    • What could this mean? (blu3mo)

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  • The percentage obtained by combining the left two and the actual voter turnout are roughly the same.
    • The voter turnout might be slightly lower.
    • (Except for those aged 80 and above)

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  • It seems that there is a bias in the sample population. This is crucial.

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  • Honestly, this is unexpected. I thought that those with a higher education level would have a higher voter turnout.

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  • I would like to know the mechanisms and reasons behind such occurrences.
  • For example, something like “people working in agriculture, forestry, and fisheries are instructed by certain unions to go and vote.” (This is just a random speculation)

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• Conversely, I am curious about the feelings of people who “do not have much/any interest” but still go to vote.

  • Roughly around 10-20% of the total population might fall into this category.

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  • There is not much understanding of the logic behind saying “It’s the same whether I vote or not” in contrast to saying “Let’s go vote.” (blu3mo)
    • -> “It’s the same whether I vote or not”

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  • There is almost no gender difference in attitudes towards the Liberal Democratic Party.
  • Overall, there doesn’t seem to be a strong division. (blu3mo)
    • I thought there would be more differences based on urban-rural divide or education, like in America.- The phenomenon of reverse echo chamber, saying “I thought there would be more division” (blu3mo)

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  • I also hesitate at the time of making voting decisions

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  • This is interesting (blu3mo)
  • It can be said that boat matches also have an influence

It is difficult to define “conservatism” and “innovation” unambiguously, but it can be said that multiple elements such as emphasizing the autonomy of market mechanisms in the economic aspect - emphasizing the restraint of market mechanisms, traditional values and modern values in terms of values, and focusing on the Japan-US relationship in diplomacy and security - adopting a more neutral diplomatic policy are intricately intertwined.

• A good concise explanation (blu3mo)

• It seems like there is not much “division” after all
  • If Prime Minister Takai had been born in this state, it seems that it would have been quite divergent from the public opinion
• Well, but is this “middle” really “middle”?
  • Since the middle for each person is different, there is actually a possibility of a graph extending more to the left and right
• Concept of ”Liberal”
• It makes you feel like, “Oh, is that so?” that “pensions” and “medical care/nursing care” are at the top
  • Well, it can be understood based on the age distribution
  • And just when I thought that, ↓
• “Pensions,” even 25% for ages 18-29
  • The interest in “pensions” between the elderly and the young seems to have completely different vectors
• I do have a feeling that I want “medical care” and “nursing care” to be separated (blu3mo)

• It’s understandable that there is a relatively clear gender difference here
  • It’s interesting that women tend to lean towards “don’t know, no response” more
• Boat match, even 1.6% in their 20s~
  • I wonder how much it increases in the 50th House of Representatives election (blu3mo)
• The difference between the 45th and 46th elections is amazing. Why?
  • I don’t really understand the feeling at that time because I wasn’t really aware of things back then~ (blu3mo)